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Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Short Term Stock Tips for 29-Apr-2008

1. Syndicate Bank (Nse code: SYNDIBANK)

CMP = 76.95 (28-04-08)

Buy at : 75 - 78

Target : 88 (Short term)

Stop loss : 70

Posted by : Srikanthbabu kaliki , E-mail:

Monday, April 28, 2008

Short Term Tips for 28-Apr-2008

1. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (NSE Code: MARUTI)

CMP : 737.95 (25-04-08)

Buy at : 735 - 742

Target : 782 (short term)

Stop Loss : 700

2. Geometric Ltd. (Nse Code: GEOMETRIC)

CMP: 60.85 (25-04-08)

Buy at : 60 - 62

Target : 66 - 68 (Short term)

Stop loss : 55.00

Posted by: Srikanthbabu kaliki, E-mail:

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Long Term Stock Tips - 5

Stock Name : Vijay Textiles (BSE: 530151 )

CMP : Rs. 5.01 (25-04-08)

Mkt Cap : Rs. 57.62 Cr

P/E : 6.43

Last Dividend: 17.00 %

EPS : 0.78

Base value : 4.12

FaceValue : 1.00

Buy at : 4.50 - 5.50 ( for long term)

One can consider this small hyderabad based stock for long term investment purpose. It is high dividend paying company with face value "1.00".

The fundamentals for this company is good till december 2007 and consistently paying dividend. They started retail premium level based malls.

It also have plan to build a commercial complex for IT companies in hyderabad.

It has huge real estate value as manufacuturing industry located in 10 acres near hyderabad city.

Apart from all the above it is fundamental sound small capital company.

Posted by: Srikanthbabu kaliki, E-mail:

Friday, April 25, 2008

Short Term Stock Tips for 25-Apr-2008

Short term stock tips


Close price : Rs. 61.50 (24-04-08)

Buy at : Rs. 60 - 65

Target : Rs. 71 - 75 (short term)

Stop loss : Rs. 55

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Close price : Rs. 52.40 (24-04-08)

Buy at : Rs. 50 - 55

Target : Rs. 62 - 64 (short term)

Stop loss : Rs. 47

Posted by: Srikanth Reddy ; E-mail:

Wish you happy short term stock trading

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Short Term Stock Tips for 24-Apr-2008

short term stock tips

1. IFCI Ltd. (NSE Code : IFCI )

Close price : 61.50 (23-04-08)

Buy at : 60 - 65

Target : 71 - 75 (short term)

Stop loss : 55

2. India Cements Ltd. (NSE code : INDIACEM)

Close price : 184.25 (23-04-08)

Buy at : 180 - 188

Target : 220 (short term)

Stop loss : 165

Posted by: Srikanth Reddy e-mail:

Wish you happy short term trading

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Short Term Stock Tips for 23-Apr-2008

1. GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. (NSE Code : GVKPIL)

Close price: 45.00 (22-04-08)

BUY : 43 - 46

Target : 52 - 54

Stop loss : 40

2. Crompton Greaves Ltd. (NSE Code: CROMPGREAV)

Close price : 271.25 (22-04-08)

BUY : 265 - 275

Target : 295

Stop loss : 250

Posted by: Srikanth Reddy, e-mail:
Wish you happy trading

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Short Term Stock Tips for 22-Apr-2008

COMPANY: Radico Khaitan Ltd. (NSE Code: RADICO)

Latest Price: Rs 106.85 (21-04-2008)

Buy at : 100 - 108

Target : 125 (Short term)

Stop Loss : 95

P/E Ratio: 31.75

Market cap: 1033 Cr

Note: One can consider this stock for long term investment with 1 - 2year time period.

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Posted by : Srikanth Reddy ( Investment Advisor )

Monday, April 21, 2008

Short term stock tips for 21-Apr-2008

COMPANY: Prithvi Information Solutions Ltd. (NSE Code: PRITHVI)

Latest Price: Rs 175.70 (17-04-2008)

Buy at : 160 - 173

Target : 210 (Short term)

Stop Loss: 148

P/E Ratio: 3.51

Market cap: 318.00 Cr

Note: One can consider this stock for long term investment with 1 - 2year time period.
Posted by : Srikanth Reddy, E-mail:
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Sunday, April 20, 2008

Long Term Stock Tips - 4

COMPANY: Jagran Prakashan Ltd. ( NSE Code: JAGRAN )

Latest Price: Rs 86.60 (17-Apr-2008)
Face Value : 2.00
P/E Ratio : 34.22
Market Cap: 2,608.14 Cr

An investment can be considered in the stock of Jagran Prakashan with a medium-term perspective. The relative advantages of the print media sector in terms of greater bargaining power with advertisers, lower competitive intensity and increasing penetration in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities make Indian newspaper publishers better placed than broadcasters to capture the rising trends in advertising.

Jagran Prakashan, as a publisher of leading Hindi newspaper, Dainik Jagran, remains a preferred pick, with vernacular newspapers expected to grow at a faster rate than English dailies.

Jagran’s recent joint venture with the Network 18 group to launch business newspapers in regional languages has rich prospects and offers an upside to revenue and earnings estimates over the long term. Revenues from this source have, however, not been factored into our recommendation.

Valuation and risk

At a valuation of about 25 times its estimated FY-09 per share earnings, the stock is not inexpensive. It is, however, likely to be an outperformer within the media sector. Given the premium valuations, though, a modest return expectation in the near term is called for.

Investors with more aggressive return expectations can consider accumulating the stock on declines linked to broad market weakness.

A slowdown in advertising spends would be significant risk to earnings. Real estate and automobiles are among the biggest advertisers in the print segment.

Consequently, a slowdown in either of these segments could affect advertising spending. However, we believe that the advertising momentum would be sustained over the next two-three years as real-estate players enter new locations and car-makers line up new model launches.

Strong quarter performance

Jagran Prakashan continued to sustain its strong growth momentum in the October-December quarter of 2008, reporting a 27 per cent growth in revenues and a 46 per cent rise in profits over the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

The advertising revenue stream continued to drive growth, on the back of improving yields and increasing share of colour advertisements.

With advertising revenue growth outpacing that of circulation revenue, margins have moved up sharply from 17 per cent in the corresponding previous quarter to 21.7 per cent in the December quarter 2008. Advertising income has evidently managed to offset the negative impact of edition launches on profitability.

Aggressive launches

Jagran Prakashan operates over 30 editions of Dainik Jagran in the Northern states. In 2007, it launched a new publication, I-Next, a bi-lingual tabloid targeted at the youth; it launched City Plus, a free English Infotainment weekly in late 2006.

Jagran has been fairly aggressive in launching editions. It runs seven editions of I-Next; three editions were launched in the last quarter of the calendar year.

The company claims to have met with success with this compact daily. So far, however, I-Next has been launched mainly in Uttar Pradesh, where Jagran is a market leader. The company has only recently launched a Dehradun edition of I-Next in the state of Uttarakhand.

The company is also increasing penetration of the Dainik Jagran in Punjab, where it has taken on leading publication Dainik Bhaskar. Both newspapers launched a Patiala edition in quick succession in December.

We view the aggressive expansion into these markets that are characterised by low penetration and improving literacy rates as a positive. It could, however, impose a heavy burden on profitability, if advertising spends were to slow down and newsprint prices continue their uptrend.

Newspapers rely on advertising income to offset newsprint costs. Dainik Jagran derives about 35 per cent of its revenues from circulation and the balance from advertising and new ventures.

Outdoor media business scaling up

Continuing momentum in advertising would also augur well for Jagran Engage, the out-of-home (OOH) media advertising and event management arm.

The OOH industry is growing at a rapid rate (estimated at 17 per cent a year). Jagran’s OOH division is also growing on the back of this trend and is expected to break-even in the current quarter.

Scaling up of this business would provide some cushion to margins in the event of rising newsprint prices, besides offering a diversification to the newspaper segment. For now, the business still contributes less than 10 per cent of revenues.

Source : The Hindu Business Line ( )

Saturday, April 19, 2008

How to Deal With Idel Time as a Trader

Many people think of full-time trading as a super exciting career and never a dull moment. This is certainly not always the case if you’re trading for a living! Perhaps new traders swing for the fences day after day, but they won’t be able to for very long.

To trade successfully, you must learn that there are some very slow and quiet times when trading the market. Whether you are waiting for the right conditions to establish new trades or if you’re waiting for trades you are in to develop, dealing with the idle times in an effective way will put you miles ahead of others on the road to profitability.

Markets and stocks spend time in uptrends, downtrends, and consolidation modes. Your method as a trader will dictate which of these market conditions are best, and when it’s best to sit on your hands or get away from your screens completely.

If you trade continuation chart patterns, the trending markets are your time to be active. Recognizing a trendless market will help you to avoid getting chopped up by initiating trades in narrow trading ranges. If you prefer reversal chart patterns, then the slower market days lacking a trend will be the times when you will be more active, and you’ll want to avoid the trend days which can be costly to a fade trade approach.

Once you have established your trading positions, you absolutely must allow them to develop according to your original trading plan. Many traders fight the urge to micro-manage positions, and it’s easy to with direct access brokers which provide hotkey orders and dirt cheap commissions.

What ends up happening when you over-manage your trades is that you either don’t give a stock enough room to move and you get stopped out too early, or you are afraid of any pullback which may temporarily erase some open profits, so you sell too early and lose your position in a good trade.

How does a trader avoid micro-managing trades?

For some, it might mean setting conditional alerts and walking away completely to tend to other matters. Maybe you go play golf or head to the bookstore. One of the best traders I have ever been around used to sit in the row behind me on our trading floor.

He had a big account and would patiently wait for his favorite conditions to develop so that he could establish some large trading positions. I can recall several occasions when he was up 6 figures for the day and you would have thought he was asleep in his chair, rocked back with his hands behind his head and eyes closed.

He forced himself to relax and think about something other than the giant profits on his screen which he may have been tempted to take had he been watching every tick.

Regardless of whether you are day trading or swing trading, there will be idle times as a trader which you must learn to deal with properly. Wait for the right conditions, enter your trades, set your exit parameters, and find a way to let the trades develop without interfering.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Short term stock tips for 16-Apr-2008

Stock: Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd.

Close Price: 230.15 (15-Apr-2008)

Target : Rs 255.00

Note: short term

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Short term stock tips for 15-Apr-2008


Close Price: 32.40 (11-Apr-2008)

Target : Rs 37.00

Note: short term

Monday, April 14, 2008

Long Term Stock Tips - 3


Close Price: 24.90 (11-Apr-2008)

ASSAM COMPANY (ACL) is a tea plantation company, which operates in Northeast India. It had annual turnover of around Rs 150 crore in Fy 07 with a current market capitalization of Rs 760 crore.

The company currently depends on the tea plantation business for 95% of its revenues. In future, ACL’s revenue growth will be driven by the success in its petroleum exploration and production (E&P) business.


1. The company has invested in a few oil & gas blocks in the Northeast. Hence it has capability to generate substantial revenues and profits this year onwards.

2. The company holds stakes in two highly prospective oil blocks in Assam operated by Canada-based Canoro Resources.

3. Apart from the blocks shared with Canoro, ACL independently holds three small proven oil fields on a contract basis from ONGC for development.

4. ACL has formed a joint venture company with Texas based Austin Exploration to expand its geographical reach. This venture currently holds stakes in eight exploration blocks in Australia and USA, and is eyeing four exploration blocks in Mongolia.

5. The company has floated a special economic zone (SEZ) with Gujarat state petroleum, which has received in principle approval from the central government. It plans to invest around Rs 2000 crore in this project over the next two years.


Considering its growth prospect one can consider an investment in this stock with 12 months horizon for huge upside potential. The current market capitalization 760 crore is too less compare to its future sales of around 2500 crore from E&P business alone.


Petroleum E&P is a long term and capital-intensive business. Any delay in execution of the proposed development plans, or any substantial and sustained fall in international crude oil prices, will have a substantial impact on the company’s balance sheet.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Guide Lines for Swing Trading Strategy

If your trade timeframe supports swing trading, here is the strategy we follows. Ofcourse this may not be the exact way you wish to swing trade, but it is intended as a guide to help you determine a trading strategy that suits not only your timeframe, but also your personality as a trader. If your timeframe is shorter, please see the day trading strategy page for more information.

Swing Trading Strategy:

When swing trading, your position size will usually be smaller than when day trading due to the fact that you are looking for a larger move. Your stop loss orders should be placed wider than when day trading for this reason. Naturally, your profit targets are farther away, so patience is a necessity.

Stocks often gap, so here are some guidelines for swing trading:

  • If a stock gaps 1-2%, enter 1/2 of the intended position size and monitor the stock's behavior before adding to the position.
  • If a stock gaps 2-3%, only enter 1/4 of the intended position size.
  • If a stock gaps over 3%, it may be best to pass on the trade entirely, as the risk/reward profile of the trade is no longer the same.

Here are a few rules of thumb to help determine exits when swing trading:

  • If the prior day's low is taken out on the breakout day (or high for shorts), exit the trade.
  • Once a trade is held overnight, place a stop-loss order no further away than below the recent consolidation area, as a move beneath it would signal a failure.
  • Once a trade is profitable by at least 10%, never give back more than half of the open profit. This helps to avoid the frustration of letting winning trades turn into losing trades.
  • Once a trade is profitable by at least 5%, move the stop-loss order to breakeven on a closing basis.
  • Partial buys and sells can be very helpful. If a stock breaks out in a sluggish fashion, consider entering only a partial position. If a trade is exhibiting little follow-through after the breakout, decrease the position size.
  • Always monitor the health of the overall market, and the health of your positions. When things aren't acting right, either lighten up or go to cash entirely to preserve capital. It's easy to get back in.

These are some general guidelines for any trader with a swing trading strategy to determine exits that fit their timeframe, and are intended for educational purposes as you seek to define a swing trading strategy that suits your needs.

Guide lines for Day Trading Strategy

Day trading strategy should be a good starting point for you. Ofcourse this may not be the exact way you wish to day trade, but it is intended as a guide to help you determine a day trading strategy that suits not only your timeframe, but also your personality. Trading in accordance to your personality will ultimately serve you best.

Day Trading Strategy:

If you are a day trader, your position size is likely larger due to the fact you are looking for a smaller move with your short timeframe. Keeping a tight stop is extremely important when trading larger size, as a day trading strategy gives stocks multiple opportunities to work. For day trading, the strategy is rather simple:

  • Always keep your profit objective at least 3 times greater than what you are willing to risk.
  • Allow not more than a 1% move against you from your entry point.Ideally, you are in the trade beyond the trend line and out of the trade below it. You can always get back into the trade if the stock returns to the buy point.
  • If the futures (Nifty and Sensex) make an intermediate lower high intraday (or higher low when trading the short side), exit half of your position. This implies a weakening market and can make it tougher for open positions to continue working.
  • If your stock hits a new low for the day (long trades) or new high for the day if you are short, exit the position. A day trade is intended for initial moves, so there is no purpose in widening stops to accommodate a stock moving in the wrong direction. Get out if the stock breaks a low (or high if short) as you can reenter the trade if it triggers again.
  • Once momentum fades and buyers are thinning out, take your profit. This can be done by carefully monitoring the intraday chart and the time & sales window for fading momentum.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Short term stock tips for 11-Apr-2008


Close Price : Rs 16.90 (10-Apr-2008)

Buy Price : Rs 17.50

Target Price : Rs 20

Stop Loss : Rs 15

Current Quote (MIRCELECTR)


Close Price : Rs 259.55 (10-Apr-2008)

Buy Price : Rs 261

Target Price : Rs 288

Stop Loss : Rs 251

Current Quote ( INFOTECENT)

Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Short term stock tips for 10-Apr-2008

Stock : Nagarjuna Construction Co. Ltd.

Close Price : Rs 184.30 (09-Apr-2008)

Buy Price : Rs 177 - 183

Target Price : Rs 205

Stop Loss : Rs 165

Note: If market goes down further then one can consider this stock for investment purpose with long term view.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Short term stock tips for 09-Apr-2008

Stock : SAIL ( Steel Authority Of India )

CMP : 157.05 (08-Apr-2008)

Buy Price : Rs 148 - 152

Target Price : Rs 172

Stop Loss : Rs140

Monday, April 7, 2008

Long Term Stock Tips - 2

Company : Brabourne Enterprises Ltd. (NSE Code: BRABOURNE)
Group : R P Goenka Group
Industry : Pharma

Close Price : Rs 29.70 (07-04-2008)
Market Cap : Rs 42.82 Cr
Book Value : 63.82
EPS(TTM) : 4.38
PE : 6.8

One can consider to invest in the small cap pharma company "Brabourne Enterprises (formerly RPG Life Sciences)" for medium to long term . The company has posted total sales of 95 crores for the first 9 months with net profit of 4.2 crores.

Sunday, April 6, 2008

Long Term Stock Dream Tips - 1

Company: Sunil Hi Tech Engineers Ltd (NSE Code: SUNILHITEC)

Close price : Rs 246.00 (17-3-2008)

Buy Price : Buy in small lots during market correction

Target Price: Rs 375.00

Market Capitalization: Rs 246.00 crore

Stock trading for simple profit

This article defines a general, simple plan to exploit bear markets for profit. A simple scheme exists to invest with medium-term holding periods for a net profitable expectancy.This one involves exploiting high volatility off bear markets with respect to liquidity common sense.

Liquidity Logic
For every sell order, initiated by either a retail or institutional trader, someone must stand on the other side to accept the transaction (i.e. provide liquidity). With each bull market, increasing numbers of public investors look to become shareholders of various corporations, pushing prices up along the way, and vice versa for bear markets.

Like most resources on Earth, the number of public buyers remains limited and as initiated buying orders slow down so do the stock prices. Liquidity squeeze then commences as the amount of willing buyers lessens, forcing sellers to settle for lower prices.

Consequentially, bargain hunters arrive and the so-called liquidity cycle begins again. As rationale affirms, higher liquidity allows for price rallies, and lower liquidity periods tend to cause swift price declines.

Volatility simply means the rate or speed of market movement. Mentioned above, price drops occur from a shortage of buyers, where shareholders resort to settling at increasingly falling prices for cash.

As panic induced influences tend to transpire more often with selling, the average rate of stock price drops remains greater than that of growth. If the market has a 50% chance of upside or downside moves, then making purely downside bets would end profitably due to the larger sizes off price dips. Unfortunately no evidence exists to prove the market operating in a random, 50/50 fashion.

Probabilities & Timing
With the last several decades, the Indian stock markets have experienced corrections following roughly two to six years of consecutive bullish years. This suggests that as public investors take interest and buy up on stocks, it takes an average of four years to exhaust liquidity where a market decline becomes inevitable.

A few conclusions result from the above.

Rallying or falling markets function in a collectively exhaustive manner, where bullish periods occur more often than bearish, and one always leads to the other. With this logic, a numerically-based timing of trading entry and exit plans come to form.

General Strategy
With each consecutive bullish year further than four, the next year carries a higher probability of general stock index decline as the very limited liquidity fades. With added volatility in panic selling modes, the investor could survive rallying periods easily and the downside moves result in potentially much greater rewards.

The exit plan could revolve around statistical means (e.g. at the end of the consequential bearish year, when volatility levels reach historical highs, etc.). It could also center at a fundamental path, where company insiders and institutions begin to buy heavily, or economic figures look to make a come back.

The simple scheme provides a positive expected return, and it requires a lot of patience to pull off. Like anything else good in life, it pays to stay disciplined and persistent.

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